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1 minute ago, yzfmik said:

After watching the video of the procedure they used on Allure, the crane could be the least of their problems.  There could be tremendous damage to the azipods and where they mount to the hull if the ships weight came down on them.  This could potentially be a very long repair.

It's a tight fit in those coffer dams.  If they are at the point of performing the lift, the coffer dams were closed and tightly surrounding the azipods.  If the dry dock collapsed or broke apart, it's hard to imagine the azipods not being damaged. 

When Allure dinged a prop, it took months to forge a new one.  She limped along at a reduced speed for a while.  

 

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18 minutes ago, twangster said:

It's a tight fit in those coffer dams.  If they are at the point of performing the lift, the coffer dams were closed and tightly surrounding the azipods.  If the dry dock collapsed or broke apart, it's hard to imagine the azipods not being damaged. 

When Allure dinged a prop, it took months to forge a new one.  She limped along at a reduced speed for a while.  

 

Going to be a lot of damage topside as well.  The Aqua theatre will be out of commission for some time.

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10 minutes ago, Jaymac Radio said:

So It May Be Cheaper Now For Them To Do The Big Dry Dock Here In Freeport.

The whole dock is probably damaged. Weight of those cranes is not enough to tilt ship like oasis. Something else has failed before those cranes. Good idea to reschedule the big dry dock, not sure if they can do it there. If there is salt water in the electric motors, transformers or other electric stuff thats going to be pain in the ass to fix. And i would also be worried about the condition of propellers. If whole dock has collapsed somehow they can be damaged. Not your everyday spare parts. 

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The crane in the Aqua Theater is most likely a cosmetic issue with localized damage to the pool itself such as the platforms that rise up and down.  No aqua shows until repairs are made is an inconvenience but superficial relatively speaking. Damaged railings are clearly an issue but relatively speaking a "quick(er)" fix.  

The bigger issue is the cofferdams and azipods. 

Problem one is how the cofferdams settled once the dry dock collapsed and if they did any damage to the azipods or propellors.  Cofferdams can be cut away with underwater cutting torches assuming it settled slowly and nicely.  If they buckled or bent and damaged the azipods or propellors that is a problem.

Problem two depends on how far they progressed preparing to access and remove the bearings.  Were they just in the process of removing the propellors or had they begun to remove the azipod housing which could now lead to sea water contamination.  If so, that's a potentially huge problem.  One that can't be fixed by divers underwater, it would require a proper dry dock all of which are in Europe.  

It appeared that two cofferdams were in use so in theory they have one good or useable azipod.  Is that enough to limp over to Europe?  

Problem three - how stable is the dry dock?  Can they remove the one leaning crane so that it doesn't fall on anyone?  Can they put divers in the water to survey the azipods or is the dry dock subject to shifting and therefore it's too dangerous to put divers in the water right now? 

It's hard to see a scenario where they get it operational in mere weeks.  I think it's going to be parked there a while and even then it won't likely leave the shipyard 100%. 

In my mind I think it's a matter of how long will it take to extricate it from it's current spot and once it's free to float away, how long to get it somewhere where repairs can be made to make it whole again?

Hopefully I'm wrong.  

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12 minutes ago, BrandonOwen said:

Oasis appears to be listing to starboard side in this video. 

Oasis is sitting in the dry dock.  The dry dock lowered on it's right side so Oasis, sitting on the dry dock, also lowered on that side.  

It's likely the dry dock is now resting on the bottom, on that one side only while the other side remains floating as it is supposed to.  

So while it appears Oasis is listing, she is lifted on the port side by the dry dock while the starboard side is lowered in the water likely floating normally.  

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After watching the Allure video and some of the other media about the accident they could have a real problem in a worst case scenario. The cofferdams were drained this morning which means they had already started work. The azipods may be partially disassembled. One of the photos above shows the dams are submerged again after the accident. The cofferdams are unique and if damaged would take a while to fix and/or replace. The ship does not fit in the floating dock so there is no way to seal it and drain the whole thing. They might be able to pull the ship out, fix the dock damage, and then bring it back in to do the pod repair.

Best case is that since its Monday they hadn't gotten to disassembling the azipods yet and all three are Ok. Then it is just a matter of removing the crane, fixing that damage, and making a new plan to do the azipod maintenance.

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