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Hurricane Irma


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Should you watch it?  Sure.  Be concerned?  Not in the sense of safety concerns or anything like that.  It's far too early to know where the storm will go that far out, but on it's current trajectory it would be somewhere vaguely close to Puerto Rico in the middle to second part of next week.  Being so far out anything could happen - the storm could fizzle out, it could veer out to sea, etc.  Generally ships just move around storms.  As we saw this past week things can be a bit more tricky when there is significant impact to the port of embarkation - but this type of occurance, of this severity, is very rare.  You can find additional information in the links and graphic below.

https://www.royalcaribbeanblog.com/category/category/hurricane

http://www.CruiseHabit.com/hurricanes

145426_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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This one is forecasted to be a big and strong one..looks like its heading right for the area you are sailing.

 

Of course anything can happen by then..but based on projections I would be prepared to have some of your ports changed or delayed etc depending on the path as it gets closer.

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I think anyone who is planning to be around the windward isles next week will be watching this storm, given that it is forecast to continually strengthen throughout the 5 day forecast period into a cat4 storm.  Will it affect Allure?  Probably not because if the storm track continues as is, Allure will likely switch to a western itinerary and head to Labadee and Cozumel. 

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1 hour ago, monorailmedic said:

Should you watch it?  Sure.  Be concerned?  Not in the sense of safety concerns or anything like that.  

Agreed. It's too early to have certainty where this storm will go, or its intensity. 

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This is shaping up to be a nasty one; sustained winds have strengthened almost two-fold in the last 24 hrs.  Looks like the storm was turning to the NW but a building high in the Atlantic may prevent that, and keep it on a westerly or west/southwestly track.  Not good for the Windward isles and wouldn't be surprised to see Eastern itineraries switched for next week sailings.  

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What's interesting is the uncertainty with the forecasted track beyond the normal 5-days and the uncertainty in the strength of the Bermuda High above it .... I saw several reports where 5-10 days out, they're just not sure, it could cross over into the Caribbean or ride up the east coast.  Either way, it could be interesting for anyone going out between now and 2 weeks out (The Harmony OTS Group Cruise is the 16th along with my 5-nighter out of Baltimore to Bermuda).  My silver lining thinking is that we could be on the heals of Irma..... it's what comes after Irma that has me wondering, hopefully nothing.

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2 hours ago, coneyraven said:

.... I saw several reports where 5-10 days out, they're just not sure, it could cross over into the Caribbean or ride up the east coast. 

 

There are just too many variables to consider an accurate storm track that far out.  Look at the size of the current NHC cone at 5 days and the uncertainty in the current discussion about track.  So where this storm will be in 5 - 10 days is not really something that should be of concern right now.  That might change, however, 5 days from now.

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1 hour ago, Michael Vitale said:

I'm certainly no expert, just a worry wart cruiser 😩, but I saw a weatherman yesterday who said only about 10% of hurricanes located where this one is will make landfall in the US. I assume it's far enough south that we will be spared. I surely hope so. 

I think the 10% to the US from this position is probably correct.  However, the one thing that causes them to be steered to the US from here is strong high pressure over the Atlantic (often called a Bermuda High).  It is in place in spades right now.  Additionally, while I'm concerned for the US, I'm also concerned for the islands my family and I love so much.  All of the Leewards, Pureto Rico, Hispanola, and Turks and Caicos are in the cross hairs.

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We're watching her closely, as we fly from EWR to MCO on the 9th.  While I'm not concerned about the Oasis in the seas at the time, I'm  concerned about our ability to get to Florida if she's still down in that area OR if she's turned up the coast and affecting my ability to leave.

Worse comes to worse, we get in the car Friday after work and start driving down.  Plenty of time to get there by Sunday. 

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It's looking like Saturday/Sunday departures in Florida this weekend could be a problem as the hurricane could be there at the same time as the cruise changeover.  Could be another storm coming right behind it too.  September 10th is the annual peak, and it appears to be holding true this year.

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34 minutes ago, coneyraven said:

Just saw the announcement ..... Majesty & Enchantment .... Sept. 8th Sailings have been canceled.

 

Personally, I think planning a Caribbean cruise during the hurricane season (August-November, with mid Sept. the peak) is just not a good idea. Yeah, I know that's the only time a lot of folks can get away due to work, family commitments, etc. To me it is just an expensive exercise in what could be massive disappointment. 

I truly wish the best on those folks who are on a cruise now or waiting to find out more on their booked cruise. :27_sunglasses:

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