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Everything posted by danv3
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I don’t think there’s any uproar at all. RCI, at least, wants to be running fully-vaccinated cruises, as evidenced by the fact that they’re already doing so everywhere (I think?) but Florida. These changes by the islands just give them more cover to do what they have wanted to do all along in Florida as well.
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This is the way.
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Are Cruises Safer Than All Inclusive or Land Holidays?
danv3 replied to WannaCruise's topic in Royal Caribbean Discussion
There's no doubt that the cruise lines have done a lot to ensure guest safety and mitigate COVID risk. That said, I'm not sure a cruise line super fan message board is going to provide the most unbiased response to an inquiry like this. Naturally almost everyone here thinks cruises are more safe than a resort. You have some time to wait and see...it's quite possible that Delta will have burned itself out by December and be on the decline. *fingers crossed* -
Norwegian sues Florida over mandatory vaccine ban
danv3 replied to smokeybandit's topic in Royal Caribbean News and Rumors
It’s the last paragraph: For the foregoing reasons, Plaintiffs’ Motion for Preliminary Injunction (DE 3) is GRANTED. Defendant is ENJOINED from enforcing Section 381.00316 against Plaintiffs pending resolution of the merits of this case. (Plaintiffs being NCLH and some related parties) -
Norwegian sues Florida over mandatory vaccine ban
danv3 replied to smokeybandit's topic in Royal Caribbean News and Rumors
As I read the injunction, Florida is only prohibited from enforcing its law against NCL. Royal and Carnival may need to file their own lawsuits if they want to be similarly protected. -
Norwegian sues Florida over mandatory vaccine ban
danv3 replied to smokeybandit's topic in Royal Caribbean News and Rumors
I’m genuinely shocked by this outcome. The bits of the opinion I’m reading from articles (I haven’t read the whole opinion yet) seem very outcome based. The judge seemed to know that the policy behind the law was wrong and strained to find a justification to strike it down. Maybe the Florida legislature amends the law to exempt cruises now. -
New PCR / Antigen Testing Requirement
danv3 replied to dwhelchel's topic in Royal Caribbean Discussion
Who is surprised that RCI is giving out new/different information from what we all seem to think? -
Basically, CDC is saying that it won't broadly enforce the general mask order that applies to all transportation (i.e., all people at all places on a ship) as long as cruise lines voluntarily follow the CSO. If a cruise line declines to follow the CSO, then the CDC will vigorously enforce the mask requirement at all times on the non-CSO-compliant ship. Looks to me like the CDC remains in control. Florida has "won" by getting a preliminary injunction, but the CDC has sufficiently cowed the cruise lines that they all intend to "voluntarily" follow the CSO.
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I don't think the action in the 11th Circuit is over. CDC appealed Merryday's PI ruling. All the 11th Circuit has ruled on to date was the CDC's motion to stay the PI during the appeal. The appeal of the PI itself is ongoing. CDC's brief is due September 1. https://www.2150.com/files/cc/USCA11-21-12243/23_011111857305_BriefingNotice.pdf Then Florida will respond and CDC will reply to that response. Then an argument will be scheduled. That's looking to me like mid- to late-October unless the parties and the court accelerate things considerably. While Merryday might issue an order clarifying the status of his PI now, I think that because his PI was to go into effect on July 18, he declined to stay it, and then the 11th Circuit (eventually) also declined to stay it, that means that Merryday's ruling is now in effect. Practically, I don't think that matters, because the cruiselines aren't going to rush out and start ignoring CDC's guidance. Very little should change. As far as I can tell the only thing happening on August 12 in the district court is that CDC will file its answer to Florida's complaint: https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.flmd.388773/gov.uscourts.flmd.388773.103.0.pdf They will deny everything that's relevant, and this will not be a very meaningful document. I think we are months away from any final ruling in Merryday's court. All that effectively matters now is (1) whether the CDC asks SCOTUS to impose a stay (seems unlikely) or (2) whether the 11th Circuit reverses Merryday's PI.
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SCOTUS and Thomas were not involved. The 11th Circuit reversed itself “sua sponte” according to the order, which means the judges did it on their own. They must have realized they made a significant error of law in the stay order and wanted to fix it before SCOTUS overruled them. Here’s the SCOTUS docket with no rulings noted as of now: https://www.supremecourt.gov/search.aspx?filename=/docket/docketfiles/html/public/21a5.html
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Norwegian sues Florida over mandatory vaccine ban
danv3 replied to smokeybandit's topic in Royal Caribbean News and Rumors
Litigators... *shakes head* -
Norwegian sues Florida over mandatory vaccine ban
danv3 replied to smokeybandit's topic in Royal Caribbean News and Rumors
You're certainly right that not all laws are constitutional, but the legislative background makes NCLH's argument harder. One of the big issues in the Florida v. CDC case was that the CDC acted unilaterally on an administrative basis (and far beyond any regulatory authority it had ever used previously). A state legislature has much broader powers. Fundamentally, this really comes down to NCLH disagreeing with the law and its lack of an exception for cruise lines. They've had to dress up that disagreement into constitutional arguments. But the biggest problem for NCLH is that other cruise lines are already successfully sailing from Florida in compliance with Florida's law and without material COVID issues. That by itself basically sinks any chance of getting a preliminary injunction. Where is the irreparable harm? -
Norwegian sues Florida over mandatory vaccine ban
danv3 replied to smokeybandit's topic in Royal Caribbean News and Rumors
These are really weak arguments NCLH is raising. Due Process and dormant commerce clause seem almost laughable. We don't have to like the Florida statute, but it is clearly a law duly passed by the legislature and signed by the governor, so there's a presumption of validity. NCLH's arguments all really boil down to "we can't operate how we want to, and the way we now have to operate is too hard." (Except it's not too hard as RCI is already proving.) The chance of a preliminary injunction being entered here has got to be less than 5%. -
DeSantis/Florida wins prelim injunction over CDC
danv3 replied to smokeybandit's topic in Royal Caribbean News and Rumors
CDC just got benchslapped. -
DeSantis/Florida wins prelim injunction over CDC
danv3 replied to smokeybandit's topic in Royal Caribbean News and Rumors
I can assure you with a high degree of certainty that Judge Merryday's "hordes" of either two or three law clerks are absolutely sworn to secrecy. Lawyers could certainly speculate about what the ruling would be based on comments made at the hearings, Merryday's background and prior rulings, etc., but I don't believe for a minute that anyone had any notice of the outcome until the option was filed and the attorneys of record got an email telling them an order was entered. -
DeSantis/Florida wins prelim injunction over CDC
danv3 replied to smokeybandit's topic in Royal Caribbean News and Rumors
This. There will be some changes in policies but nothing groundbreaking. Perhaps they'll start getting ships back into service a little bit faster now that they don't have to do test cruises after mid-July, but even that I think is limited more by staffing and other practical considerations more than whether the CSO is in place.